Reggiana vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
13%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
REG
45%
32%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 2
REG
56%
28%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
REG
1 - 1
TER
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BRE
2 - 1
REG
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
52%
30%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |