Reggiana vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
REG
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
SSS
2 - 1
REG
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
COM
3 - 1
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 0
ACP
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
PAR
1 - 3
INT
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 1
ASS
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 2
TRI
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |