Reggiana vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 0
REG
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
REG
2 - 1
PRO
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VNZ
1 - 1
REG
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
REG
2 - 1
ACL
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 2
RAV
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
MID
1 - 0
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
LEC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |