Reggiana vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
REG
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
REG
0 - 1
PAD
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 3
REG
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
REG
3 - 0
SPE
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PRO
1 - 0
REG
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 0
NOV
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 2
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
NOV
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |