Reggiana vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
POT
1 - 0
REG
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
VER
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
SAM
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAR
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SAM
3 - 1
NOV
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 2
MOD
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |