Reggiana vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
VER
4 - 1
REG
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 1
REG
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
REG
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
24%
29%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 2
REG
38%
27%
34%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
SSS
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
VER
1 - 2
NOV
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 0
ASL
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |