Reggiana vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
REG
0 - 2
TRI
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
REG
4 - 2
ANC
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
REG
5 - 2
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
REG
0 - 0
BOL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 2
SAN
74%
14%
12%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
NOV
2 - 0
ACP
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
NOV
0 - 1
TRI
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |