Reggiana vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
29.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
USA
2 - 0
REG
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
VNZ
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
REG
0 - 0
PAL
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 0
REG
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
NAP
4 - 0
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAP
40%
31%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
LEC
3 - 0
NAP
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
NAP
3 - 0
TRI
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |