Reggiana vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
TAR
1 - 3
REG
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 4
REG
46%
22%
32%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
REG
1 - 0
SPA
72%
15%
13%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
REG
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
FAN
2 - 1
REG
36%
23%
41%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 0
NAP
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 5
SPE
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
UNI
1 - 4
NAP
40%
24%
37%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAP
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |