Reggiana vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
NOV
3 - 0
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
REG
2 - 3
PAL
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 0
REG
52%
30%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
REG
1 - 3
VAR
40%
28%
31%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
51%
30%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
40%
33%
28%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 1
SPA
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BRI
0 - 1
MOD
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
USF
39%
31%
30%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |