Reggiana vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
VIC
2 - 1
REG
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
REG
1 - 2
BOL
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
REG
41%
33%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
REG
2 - 0
ATL
39%
31%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
VIC
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
BOL
3 - 0
MOD
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
MAS
1 - 1
MOD
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |