Reggiana vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 0
REG
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
REG
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
GEN
0 - 0
REG
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
TER
2 - 0
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
MOD
4 - 0
USF
39%
30%
31%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
PAD
2 - 0
MOD
45%
30%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
LAZ
41%
31%
28%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |