Reggiana vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
19.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1966 |
VER
0 - 0
REG
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
LEC
4 - 2
REG
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
REG
2 - 1
PRO
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 0
REG
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
48%
27%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
MAN
0 - 0
MOD
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASS
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 1
MOD
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |