Reggiana vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 1
REG
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
REG
1 - 1
ACP
66%
19%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 0
REG
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
REG
3 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 1
MOD
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
USA
1 - 1
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
MOD
0 - 1
LAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |