Reggiana vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
LIV
2 - 0
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
REG
0 - 4
GEN
52%
23%
24%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
REG
0 - 0
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
MOD
0 - 6
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
LEC
5 - 2
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |