Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 0-2
Reggiana vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
51.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
SAL
4 - 0
REG
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
REG
1 - 1
RAV
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
38%
28%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
ACM
0 - 0
REG
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
REG
1 - 0
USF
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
UDI
2 - 1
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
47%
26%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
ACM
0 - 0
REG
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
PIA
1 - 1
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
ACM
0 - 1
CAG
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |