Reggiana vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 0
REG
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
BOL
0 - 2
REG
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
REG
0 - 0
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 0
REG
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
MES
2 - 0
AVE
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
51%
27%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
COS
0 - 0
MES
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |