Reggiana vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
PAD
3 - 1
REG
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
SSB
0 - 0
REG
42%
30%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
UDI
3 - 1
REG
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
REG
1 - 2
ANC
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
MES
1 - 0
PES
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
41%
30%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
USC
43%
30%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
MES
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
MES
0 - 2
USF
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |