Reggiana vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
PAL
2 - 0
REG
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
REG
3 - 1
SAL
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 2
REG
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
REG
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 1
REG
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
NOV
2 - 0
MES
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
MES
4 - 1
POT
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
TOR
4 - 0
MES
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |