Reggiana vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
VER
3 - 0
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
NAP
41%
29%
29%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
USA
2 - 0
REG
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MES
4 - 0
LAZ
46%
29%
25%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VIC
2 - 1
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
SAM
0 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
MES
0 - 3
FIO
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |