Reggiana vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 2
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
REG
1 - 2
ARZ
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 2
REG
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
REG
0 - 0
SPA
47%
28%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
REG
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
SPE
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CES
3 - 1
ASL
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
ABN
2 - 1
ASL
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 1
ALZ
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |