Reggiana vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 1
REG
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
REG
2 - 1
TRE
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
REG
3 - 2
COS
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ATL
0 - 0
REG
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
REG
1 - 3
GEN
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
ASL
0 - 0
COS
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
ASL
3 - 2
NAP
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
RAV
3 - 0
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |