Reggiana vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 1
REG
39%
32%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
37%
32%
32%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
PAD
62%
25%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
REG
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
REG
2 - 1
SPA
51%
29%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
LIV
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
CAT
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 0
REG
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
LIV
47%
30%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
54%
28%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |