Reggiana vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
REG
0 - 0
PIS
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
VER
0 - 1
REG
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
USA
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 1
SAM
24%
29%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
USA
2 - 0
LIV
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 1
LIV
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
CAT
2 - 1
LIV
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |