Reggiana vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
BRE
6 - 1
REG
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
REG
4 - 0
PRO
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
REG
2 - 2
NAP
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
TAR
1 - 3
REG
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 4
REG
46%
22%
32%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 1
UNI
63%
20%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
NAP
0 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 1
VIC
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
ACP
4 - 3
LIV
41%
23%
36%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
TAR
1 - 2
LIV
40%
24%
37%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |