Reggiana vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1983 |
LAZ
3 - 3
REG
61%
24%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
REG
1 - 1
USC
43%
30%
27%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
USF
2 - 2
REG
54%
28%
18%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
ATL
5 - 1
REG
51%
31%
18%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
REG
3 - 1
PAL
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1983 |
LEC
0 - 0
PIS
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
USF
3 - 0
LEC
54%
29%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAV
51%
28%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
LEC
0 - 0
LAZ
43%
30%
27%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |