Reggiana vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 1
REG
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
REG
0 - 2
CAV
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 3
REG
62%
24%
15%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
BOL
2 - 2
REG
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
REG
0 - 0
UDI
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 2
LEC
69%
21%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
USF
59%
26%
15%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
PRG
2 - 1
LEC
63%
25%
12%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
SSS
1 - 1
LEC
49%
29%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
LEC
2 - 2
COM
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |