Reggiana vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
SAM
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
SAV
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
MAN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
REG
0 - 3
PIS
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VER
0 - 0
PAL
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 0
VER
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
VER
0 - 2
SAM
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
VER
1 - 0
BRE
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
NOV
2 - 1
VER
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |