Reggiana vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 1
REG
60%
26%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
TAR
54%
28%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
REG
3 - 2
COM
42%
31%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
CAT
2 - 0
REG
52%
30%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
REG
2 - 2
REG
59%
27%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
CAT
0 - 0
GEN
54%
29%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 0
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
TAR
1 - 0
GEN
45%
31%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
GEN
2 - 0
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
ARZ
1 - 0
GEN
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |