Reggiana vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
REG
2 - 1
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
PAL
1 - 0
REG
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
REG
1 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
VNZ
1 - 0
REG
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
GEN
1 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
VER
2 - 1
GEN
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASS
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
FCC
2 - 0
GEN
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
GEN
3 - 1
LIV
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |