Reggiana vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
REG
1 - 0
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
USF
1 - 0
REG
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
REG
1 - 0
COM
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
BRE
1 - 1
REG
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
PRO
1 - 1
REG
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 0
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
GEN
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 4
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
USA
0 - 0
GEN
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 0
VNZ
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |