Reggiana vs Fortis Trani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
TRI
0 - 1
REG
45%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
LIV
0 - 0
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
47%
27%
25%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 0
REG
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
REG
3 - 1
POT
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAP
44%
26%
29%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
FOR
1 - 0
USA
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
TRI
1 - 1
FOR
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
VNZ
1 - 0
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |