Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 0-3
Reggiana vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 0
REG
67%
22%
11%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
REG
1 - 1
UDI
39%
30%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
FIO
3 - 0
REG
80%
14%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
GEN
0 - 0
REG
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
REG
0 - 0
USF
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
BAR
0 - 1
FIO
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
FIA
0 - 0
FIO
15%
25%
60%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
FIO
4 - 1
PIS
73%
19%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
FIO
3 - 0
REG
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
PAD
0 - 0
FIO
28%
27%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |