Reggiana vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
REG
2 - 1
PAG
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 2
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
REG
0 - 0
VER
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
COM
0 - 2
REG
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
REG
3 - 2
ASS
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
JUS
1 - 0
FCV
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
USF
2 - 2
FCV
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 2
BEN
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
NOC
2 - 1
FCV
20%
27%
53%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FCV
3 - 1
VIR
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |