Reggiana vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1966 |
REG
4 - 0
MES
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
PAL
2 - 0
REG
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
REG
3 - 1
SAL
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
REG
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 2
REG
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
SAM
3 - 0
FCC
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
SAL
2 - 0
FCC
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAT
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
ARZ
0 - 1
FCC
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |