Reggiana vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
REG
1 - 3
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
TRI
1 - 1
REG
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 1
REG
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
REG
4 - 1
ACM
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
FCC
3 - 2
TRI
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCC
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FCC
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
FCC
4 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |