Reggiana vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
ASC
2 - 1
REG
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
USC
3 - 0
REG
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
REG
1 - 1
LEC
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
JUV
4 - 1
REG
91%
7%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
INT
4 - 1
CAT
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
CAT
4 - 6
ASC
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
CES
2 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAG
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAT
59%
27%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |