Reggiana vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
BRE
2 - 2
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
REG
2 - 0
MAN
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 1
REG
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
REG
3 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
TRI
1 - 1
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAG
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1960 |
NOV
3 - 1
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAT
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |