Reggiana vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1959 |
REG
0 - 0
SSS
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 1
REG
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
REG
1 - 0
ACP
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
REG
3 - 1
LEC
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 2
CAT
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
VNZ
3 - 0
CAT
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |