Reggiana vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
13%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
SPA
0 - 0
REG
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
REG
1 - 0
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
REG
0 - 1
FAN
79%
13%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
UNI
2 - 1
REG
54%
21%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 0
REG
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 1
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
USC
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 0
CAT
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
73%
15%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
VER
47%
23%
31%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |