Reggiana vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
PAV
2 - 0
REG
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
REG
0 - 1
SAL
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BV5
0 - 0
REG
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
REG
1 - 0
PER
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 1
REG
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
CAR
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
GIU
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
JUS
1 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 3
CAR
18%
25%
58%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |