Reggiana vs Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
USD
1 - 1
REG
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
REG
3 - 0
PAV
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LEN
2 - 2
REG
18%
25%
58%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
REG
0 - 0
FIO
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
CLA
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAL
60%
21%
20%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
FAN
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 2
CAL
63%
20%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
AXY
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |