Reggiana vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
REG
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
REG
1 - 0
SPE
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CES
2 - 2
REG
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
REG
1 - 1
PIS
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PAD
0 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
TRE
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
PAD
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |