Reggiana vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
REG
3 - 1
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1959 |
REG
2 - 2
MOD
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
REG
1 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1959 |
INT
5 - 2
REG
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
CAG
2 - 1
ASS
49%
26%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
COM
3 - 0
CAG
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
CAG
0 - 1
TRI
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
CAG
0 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |