Reggiana vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
USC
3 - 0
REG
51%
29%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
REG
0 - 0
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 1
REG
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
REG
0 - 2
CAV
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 3
REG
62%
24%
15%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 1
LAZ
54%
26%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 0
BRE
51%
29%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 2
LEC
69%
21%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
PES
1 - 0
BRE
46%
31%
23%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 1
SAM
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |