Reggiana vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
14.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
BAR
1 - 1
REG
53%
30%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
REG
0 - 1
REG
41%
35%
25%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
59%
26%
15%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
BRI
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRE
60%
27%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
COM
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
48%
31%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |