Reggiana vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1959 |
REG
0 - 0
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
VER
2 - 1
REG
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
ASS
3 - 0
REG
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
REG
1 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
REG
0 - 0
SSS
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
MOD
2 - 2
BRE
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
BRE
3 - 1
SSS
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |