Reggiana vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2000 |
MOD
2 - 0
REG
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
REG
0 - 1
CES
29%
30%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ARZ
4 - 1
REG
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
REG
2 - 2
SPA
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
USA
0 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |