Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-4
Reggiana vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
50%
29%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
BOL
4 - 1
REG
81%
12%
6%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
COM
1 - 2
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
REG
0 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
REG
2 - 2
USF
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
BOL
0 - 1
PIS
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
BOL
4 - 1
REG
81%
12%
6%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BOL
2 - 4
NAP
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
LEC
1 - 0
BOL
45%
29%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |