Reggiana vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 3
REG
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
LIV
2 - 0
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 3
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1958 |
BOL
1 - 0
INT
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
PAD
3 - 1
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |